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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 7.1–7.9

Highland spans 2 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 5,837 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a St. Paul baseline of 30.0%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. That places it #4 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul. For a like-for-like read, South Saint Anthony Park and Dayton's Bluff score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $1,258, close to the St. Paul average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Highland vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.0% +43%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,258 -2%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$53,177 -30%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
21.2% +35%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
84.0% +78%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Highland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.1–7.9

Why Highland scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
21.2% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.9 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–3.3 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Highland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Highland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.6HighlandNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Highland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123037603 7.9 3,588 39% $1,167
27123037604 7.1 2,249 50% $1,402
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Highland

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 439Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Highland

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Highland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Highland?

Highland scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Highland compare to St. Paul overall?

Highland scores 1.1 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,258 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Highland?

Average gross rent in Highland is $1,258/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Highland residents are renters?

84% of Highland households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 5,837 residents.
Q5

Is Highland a high social-vulnerability area?

Highland sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Highland have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Highland is census tract 27123037603 (score 7.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 7.9, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Highland for landlords?

Highland carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Highland?

Highland has 5,312 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (47.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.8%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Highland

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Highland.

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