Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
North Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040601 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,672 · 85% of tract blocks fall in North Oaks
27123040601 is a census tract in North Oaks, MN. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,672. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,974
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$219,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Oaks and the region
Centroid at 45.1048, -93.1011 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Oaks scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North Oaks
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,932 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Oaks
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Oaks
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Oaks
6.0
How North Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 3Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.40×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.0%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Oaks
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 74.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.4 points.
60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,932 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of North Oaks commands. Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2010 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040601?
Census tract 27123040601 in North Oaks scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040601?
Median gross rent is $2,932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040601?
4.4% of residents in tract 27123040601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,672.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 66th, minority 26th, housing 49th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123040601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.69% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.40× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123040601 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123040601 compare to North Oaks overall?
Tract 27123040601 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of North Oaks at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Oaks; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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