Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 162 evictions over 7 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 23.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 19.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Average gross rent is $1,637, close to the Arden Hills average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.