Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040801 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,191 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Arden Hills
In Arden Hills, census tract 27123040801 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,637 monthly, set against $100,692 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$100,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden Hills and the region
Centroid at 45.0893, -93.1644 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arden Hills scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden Hills
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,637 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden Hills
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.7
How Arden Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 162Total filings over 7 yrs
- 19.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2011)
- 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 24Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.24×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arden Hills
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arden Hills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 162 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 19.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.2% of renter households in 2011.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.24x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040801?
Census tract 27123040801 in Arden Hills scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040801?
Median gross rent is $1,637/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040801?
8.1% of residents in tract 27123040801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,191.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 82th, minority 48th, housing 72th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 162 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123040801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.29% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.24× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123040801 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123040801 compare to Arden Hills overall?
Tract 27123040801 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arden Hills at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arden Hills
Top eight tracts in Arden Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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