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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

New Brighton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123041104 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,238

27123041104 is a census tract in New Brighton, MN. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,238. It sits 2.4 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 18% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,333
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$123,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In New Brighton
Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#125 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,127 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brighton and the region

Centroid at 45.0762, -93.2213 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Brighton scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2

How New Brighton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Brighton risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0411044.6New Brightonparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27123041104
Filings climbed 67% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Brighton

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 19 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123041104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041104?

Census tract 27123041104 in New Brighton scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123041104?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041104?

1.4% of residents in tract 27123041104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,238.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 33th, minority 40th, housing 41th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123041104 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123041104 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123041104 compare to New Brighton overall?

Tract 27123041104 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of New Brighton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton

Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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