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Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

New Brighton Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27123041104 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,238

Census tract 27123041104 sits in New Brighton eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,442 a month against an average household income of $123,750 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 18% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,333
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$123,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In New Brighton
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#123 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#979 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brighton and the region

Centroid at 45.0762, -93.2213 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Brighton scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2

How New Brighton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Brighton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 041104New Brighton: 5.05.0New Brightonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 0.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2015)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 271230411042009: 3 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (0.28/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.28/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (0.83/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (16.67× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (8.33× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Brighton

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.4% of renter households in 2015.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.54x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123041104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041104?

Census tract 27123041104 in New Brighton scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27123041104?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041104?

1.4% of residents in tract 27123041104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,238.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 33th, minority 40th, housing 41th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27123041104 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27123041104 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27123041104 compare to New Brighton overall?

Tract 27123041104 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of New Brighton at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton

Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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