Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040804 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,174
How risky is Arden Hills in Ramsey County for landlords? Census tract 27123040804 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #29,943 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,750 a month against an average household income of $149,808 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units692
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$149,808
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden Hills and the region
Centroid at 45.0455, -93.1592 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arden Hills scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden Hills
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,750 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden Hills
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.7
How Arden Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 31Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 13.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arden Hills
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arden Hills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 13.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040804?
Census tract 27123040804 in Arden Hills scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040804?
Median gross rent is $2,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040804?
0.4% of residents in tract 27123040804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,174.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 23th, minority 13th, housing 83th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040804 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 13.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040804 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040804 compare to Arden Hills overall?
Tract 27123040804 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arden Hills at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arden Hills
Top eight tracts in Arden Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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