Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Mounds View Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123041002 ·
Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,370
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 27123041002 in Mounds View ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,370 residents. On the national scale it ranks #29,944 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,204 a month against an average household income of $105,833 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%Stable renters 12%Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,308
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$105,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#4 of 4 tracts In Mounds View
Very Low
Within county
28th percentile
#103 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Low
Within state
51th percentile
#740 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
39th percentile
#51,553 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mounds View and the region
Centroid at 45.0978, -93.2179 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mounds View scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mounds View
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,204 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mounds View
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mounds View
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mounds View
6.2
How Mounds View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
37%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
178Total filings over 7 yrs
5.02%Avg annual filing rate
7.4%Peak (2012)
29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2015
Filings climbed 142% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
105Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.91×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.7%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
6.3%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mounds View
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mounds View, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041002?
Census tract 27123041002 in Mounds View scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041002?
Median gross rent is $1,204/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041002?
7.9% of residents in tract 27123041002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,370.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 43th, minority 61th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 178 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.02% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041002 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041002 compare to Mounds View overall?
Tract 27123041002 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Mounds View at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mounds View; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mounds View
Top eight tracts in Mounds View ranked by composite eviction-risk score.