Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123037500 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,358 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 27123037500 covers part of the Highland Village area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,108
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$122,159
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9128, -93.1711 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Village scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,299 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Highland Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 14%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 5%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 77Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2014)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 72Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Village
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Ramsey County average of 47.3%. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 77 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 3.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Against average income of $122,159, annual rent is just 13%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123037500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123037500?
Census tract 27123037500 in the Highland Village neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123037500?
Median gross rent is $1,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123037500?
2.8% of residents in tract 27123037500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,358.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123037500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 59th, minority 41th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 27123037500 considered part of Highland Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123037500 fall within Highland Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123037500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 77 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123037500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123037500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123037500 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123037500 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123037500 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123037500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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