Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
New Brighton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123041105 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,090
Tract 27123041105 sits in New Brighton eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 6,090 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,183
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$113,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Brighton and the region
Centroid at 45.0738, -93.2051 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Brighton scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,801 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2
How New Brighton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 98Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.9%Peak (2011)
- 16Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 82Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Brighton
At $1,801 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of New Brighton commands. It sits 1.8 points below the Ramsey County average of 5.6. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 98 evictions over 7 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041105?
Census tract 27123041105 in New Brighton scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041105?
Median gross rent is $1,801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041105?
12.5% of residents in tract 27123041105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 92th, minority 42th, housing 28th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.30% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041105 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041105 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041105 compare to New Brighton overall?
Tract 27123041105 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of New Brighton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton
Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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