Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Hills of Spring Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Park Heights
Tract 27163070706 · Washington County, MN · pop 3,196 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
The Hills of Spring Creek area of Oak Park Heights is where census tract 27163070706 sits, home to 3,196 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.1/10. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.
About 77% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,480 a month against an average household income of $111,667 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,466
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$111,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0000, -92.8329 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hills of Spring Creek scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,480 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
6.1
How Hills of Spring Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hills of Spring Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.3%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hills of Spring Creek
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Park Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070706
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070706?
Census tract 27163070706 in the Hills of Spring Creek neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163070706?
Median gross rent is $2,480/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163070706?
3.7% of residents in tract 27163070706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,196.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070706?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 48th, minority 8th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 27163070706 considered part of Hills of Spring Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070706 fall within Hills of Spring Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163070706 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163070706 compare to Oak Park Heights overall?
Tract 27163070706 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park Heights at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park Heights
Top eight tracts in Oak Park Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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