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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Hills of Spring Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Park Heights

Tract 27163070802 · Washington County, MN · pop 413 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

In the Hills of Spring Creek area of Oak Park Heights, census tract 27163070802 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hills of Spring Creek
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Oak Park Heights
Very Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 59 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,218 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oak Park Heights and the region

Centroid at 45.0250, -92.8021 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hills of Spring Creek scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
6.1

How Hills of Spring Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hills of Spring Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 070802Oak Park Heights: 4.84.8Oak Park Heightsparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hills of Spring Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hills of Spring Creek

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Park Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 1000th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27163070802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070802?

Census tract 27163070802 in the Hills of Spring Creek neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 80th, housing -1000th.
Q3

Is tract 27163070802 considered part of Hills of Spring Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070802 fall within Hills of Spring Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q4

What share of households in tract 27163070802 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 27163070802 compare to Oak Park Heights overall?

Tract 27163070802 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park Heights at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park Heights

Top eight tracts in Oak Park Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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