Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Hills of Spring Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Park Heights
Tract 27163070802 · Washington County, MN · pop 413 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
27163070802 is a census tract in the Hills of Spring Creek area of Oak Park Heights, MN. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 413 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0250, -92.8021 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hills of Spring Creek scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
this tract poverty rate
3.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park Heights
6.1
How Hills of Spring Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hills of Spring Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.2%Food insecurity
- 14.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.6%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hills of Spring Creek
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
Running cool, economic stress reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163070802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163070802?
Census tract 27163070802 in the Hills of Spring Creek neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163070802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 80th, housing -1000th.
Q3
Is tract 27163070802 considered part of Hills of Spring Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27163070802 fall within Hills of Spring Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q4
What share of households in tract 27163070802 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 27163070802 compare to Oak Park Heights overall?
Tract 27163070802 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park Heights at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park Heights
Top eight tracts in Oak Park Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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