2 census tracts · pop 3,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10
· range 5.5–5.8
Hills of Spring Creek spans 2 census tracts of Oak Park Heights, MN, population 3,609. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 53% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Against a Oak Park Heights baseline of 32.8%, 68% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. At $2,196 a month, rents sit 52% over what the rest of Oak Park Heights commands.
The voucher gap is 41.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 9.2/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $98,888.
38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hills of Spring Creek vs Oak Park HeightsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority8%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport66%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hills of Spring Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.1%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
29.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Hills of Spring Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Hills of Spring Creek?
Hills of Spring Creek scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Hills of Spring Creek compare to Oak Park Heights overall?
Hills of Spring Creek scores 0.1 points lower than Oak Park Heights overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,196 vs $1,443.
Q3
What is the average rent in Hills of Spring Creek?
Average gross rent in Hills of Spring Creek is $2,196/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Hills of Spring Creek residents are renters?
38% of Hills of Spring Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Oak Park Heights). The neighborhood has 3,609 residents.
Q5
Is Hills of Spring Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Hills of Spring Creek sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Hills of Spring Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Hills of Spring Creek is census tract 27163070706 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 5.8, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Hills of Spring Creek for landlords?
Hills of Spring Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Park Heights as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Hills of Spring Creek?
Hills of Spring Creek has 3,862 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.3%), Hispanic / Latino (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
