Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
San Luis Trails Eviction Risk: Lower , Murphy
Tract 29099700303 ·
Jefferson County, MO · pop 4,704 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
For landlords sizing up San Luis Trails in Murphy, census tract 29099700303 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #57,519 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 30% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $904 monthly, set against $88,892 in average yearly household income, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 8%Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share10.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$88,892
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In San Luis Trails
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Murphy
Very Low
Within county
17th percentile
#41 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
Very Low
Within state
15th percentile
#1,412 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Murphy and the region
Centroid at 38.4936, -90.4967 · click any tract to drill in
Why San Luis Trails scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Murphy
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Murphy
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Murphy
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Murphy
5.3
How San Luis Trails compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
42%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
14%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
383Total filings over 14 yrs
12.09%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak (2016)
31Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2003 to 2017
Filings climbed 24% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in San Luis Trails
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Murphy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700303?
Census tract 29099700303 in the San Luis Trails neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700303?
Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700303?
5.3% of residents in tract 29099700303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,704.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 37th, minority 14th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 29099700303 considered part of San Luis Trails?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29099700303 fall within San Luis Trails (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 383 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.09% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29099700303 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29099700303 compare to Murphy overall?
Tract 29099700303 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Murphy at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Murphy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Murphy
Top eight tracts in Murphy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.