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Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29099701404 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 5,988 · 7% of tract blocks fall in Crystal City

The Moderate-tier score of 4.5/10 for census tract 29099701404 reflects conditions in Crystal City in Jefferson County, Missouri. It lands near the 23rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $817 a month against an average household income of $87,021 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,478
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$87,021

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Crystal City
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 49 tracts In Jefferson County
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#1,377 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal City and the region

Centroid at 38.1529, -90.3497 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal City scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Crystal City
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crystal City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crystal City
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crystal City
1.9

How Crystal City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 701404Crystal City: 2.32.3Crystal Cityparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 381Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 11.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2011)
  • 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 290997014042003: 17 filings (11.05/100 renter HHs)2004: 31 filings (20.15/100 renter HHs)2005: 22 filings (12.08/100 renter HHs)2007: 24 filings (13.18/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (15.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (9.89/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (8.93/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (6.20/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (6.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 35 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (5.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 32 filings (13.50/100 renter HHs)2017: 29 filings (12.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal City

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 2.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Crystal City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29099701404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099701404?

Census tract 29099701404 in Crystal City scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29099701404?

Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29099701404?

5.5% of residents in tract 29099701404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,988.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29099701404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 13th, minority 20th, housing 40th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099701404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 381 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099701404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.16% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 29099701404 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 29099701404 compare to Crystal City overall?

Tract 29099701404 scores 2.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Crystal City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crystal City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Crystal City

Top eight tracts in Crystal City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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