Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Paulina Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Arnold
Tract 29099700119 · Jefferson County, MO · pop 2,054 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 29099700119 in the Paulina Hills area of Arnold, MO reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,054 residents. Cost burden runs 56% here against 32.9% across Jefferson County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units784
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$76,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arnold and the region
Centroid at 38.4432, -90.4239 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paulina Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arnold
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,275 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arnold
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arnold
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arnold
4.2
How Paulina Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 14 yrs
- 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Paulina Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paulina Hills
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 116 evictions over 14 years of observation.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,275, 15% above the Arnold average.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 11.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29099700119
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29099700119?
Census tract 29099700119 in the Paulina Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29099700119?
Median gross rent is $1,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29099700119?
2.8% of residents in tract 29099700119 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,054.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29099700119?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 52th, minority 12th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 29099700119 considered part of Paulina Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29099700119 fall within Paulina Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29099700119?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 29099700119 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.30% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29099700119 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29099700119 compare to Arnold overall?
Tract 29099700119 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Arnold at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arnold eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arnold
Top eight tracts in Arnold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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