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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Bellefontaine Neighbors Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189210600 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,588 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Bellefontaine Neighbors

Census tract 29189210600 covers part of Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 19% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,635
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$45,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bellefontaine Neighbors
Moderate
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellefontaine Neighbors and the region

Centroid at 38.7551, -90.2280 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellefontaine Neighbors scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,077 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5

How Bellefontaine Neighbors compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellefontaine Neighbors risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 2106004.2Bellefontaine Neigparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 510Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 14.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2012)
  • 95Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189210600
Filings climbed 179% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 756Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellefontaine Neighbors

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the St. Louis County average of 42.0%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.

Food insecurity runs 34.7% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.3% against 31.5% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 510 filings here across 8 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189210600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210600?

Census tract 29189210600 in Bellefontaine Neighbors scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189210600?

Median gross rent is $1,077/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210600?

25.4% of residents in tract 29189210600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,588.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 99th, minority 85th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 510 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.18% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189210600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189210600 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189210600 compare to Bellefontaine Neighbors overall?

Tract 29189210600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Bellefontaine Neighbors at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellefontaine Neighbors

Top eight tracts in Bellefontaine Neighbors ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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