Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Bellefontaine Neighbors Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189210600 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,588 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Bellefontaine Neighbors

Eviction risk in Bellefontaine Neighbors centers on tract 29189210600, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,588 residents. On the national scale it ranks #4,692 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,077 a month against an average household income of $45,863 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 19% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,635
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$45,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bellefontaine Neighbors
Moderate
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellefontaine Neighbors and the region

Centroid at 38.7551, -90.2280 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellefontaine Neighbors scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,077 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors
8.5

How Bellefontaine Neighbors compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellefontaine Neighbors risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 210600Bellefontaine Neig: 3.03.0Bellefontaine Neigparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 510Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 14.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2012)
  • 95Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892106002003: 34 filings (12.73/100 renter HHs)2004: 39 filings (14.61/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (21.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 52 filings (21.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 76 filings (15.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 95 filings (10.91/100 renter HHs)2013: 68 filings (7.81/100 renter HHs)2017: 95 filings (8.47/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 179% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 756Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2020-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2020-06-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (1.09× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (1.23× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-02-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-09-01: 10 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (0.77× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-02-01: 9 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2022-04-01: 12 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 13 filings (1.24× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2022-11-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2023-02-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 14 filings (2.80× baseline)2023-04-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 12 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-06-01: 14 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-07-01: 12 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (0.95× baseline)2023-09-01: 19 filings (3.45× baseline)2023-10-01: 18 filings (2.77× baseline)2023-11-01: 25 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 20 filings (3.64× baseline)2024-01-01: 17 filings (3.09× baseline)2024-02-01: 16 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 22 filings (4.40× baseline)2024-04-01: 18 filings (3.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 13 filings (1.86× baseline)2024-06-01: 17 filings (3.09× baseline)2024-07-01: 14 filings (1.56× baseline)2024-08-01: 14 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2024-10-01: 20 filings (3.08× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (1.80× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2025-02-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-04-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 21 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2025-07-01: 18 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 12 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2025-10-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2025-11-01: 12 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2026-01-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellefontaine Neighbors

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.66x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189210600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210600?

Census tract 29189210600 in Bellefontaine Neighbors scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189210600?

Median gross rent is $1,077/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210600?

25.4% of residents in tract 29189210600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,588.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 99th, minority 85th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 510 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.18% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189210600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189210600 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189210600 compare to Bellefontaine Neighbors overall?

Tract 29189210600 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bellefontaine Neighbors at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellefontaine Neighbors; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellefontaine Neighbors

Top eight tracts in Bellefontaine Neighbors ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related