Old Town Florissant Eviction Risk: Moderate

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. At $926 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Florissant commands.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 613 evictions over 8 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.