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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

North Pointe Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jennings

Tract 29189212003 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 29189212003, in North Pointe in Jennings, looks to a landlord: a 7.1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,696. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $837 a month against an average household income of $30,558 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 33% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,375
Renter share73.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$30,558

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In North Pointe
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Jennings
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jennings and the region

Centroid at 38.7262, -90.2626 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Pointe scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jennings
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$837 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jennings
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jennings
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jennings
8.6

How North Pointe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Pointe risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 212003Jennings: 3.23.2Jenningsparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 717Total filings 2020-21
  • 9.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 13.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 9 filings (1.06× baseline)2020-02-01: 10 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.15× baseline)2020-07-01: 8 filings (0.39× baseline)2020-08-01: 10 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-09-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (0.52× baseline)2020-12-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2021-02-01: 7 filings (0.61× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.12× baseline)2021-05-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.20× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-11-01: 7 filings (0.45× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.47× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (0.30× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (0.42× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-07-01: 12 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-08-01: 16 filings (0.84× baseline)2022-09-01: 13 filings (1.37× baseline)2022-10-01: 13 filings (0.74× baseline)2022-11-01: 10 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-12-01: 12 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2023-02-01: 11 filings (0.96× baseline)2023-03-01: 11 filings (1.57× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (0.61× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-06-01: 14 filings (0.70× baseline)2023-07-01: 12 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-08-01: 14 filings (0.74× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (0.74× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-11-01: 17 filings (1.10× baseline)2023-12-01: 6 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-01-01: 9 filings (1.06× baseline)2024-02-01: 14 filings (1.17× baseline)2024-03-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 12 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 6 filings (0.30× baseline)2024-07-01: 9 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-08-01: 18 filings (0.95× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (1.05× baseline)2024-10-01: 10 filings (0.57× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (0.58× baseline)2024-12-01: 13 filings (1.53× baseline)2025-01-01: 16 filings (1.88× baseline)2025-02-01: 15 filings (1.30× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-04-01: 13 filings (0.79× baseline)2025-05-01: 8 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-06-01: 15 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-07-01: 6 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-08-01: 11 filings (0.58× baseline)2025-09-01: 14 filings (1.47× baseline)2025-10-01: 18 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-11-01: 21 filings (1.35× baseline)2025-12-01: 13 filings (1.53× baseline)2026-01-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Pointe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Pointe

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jennings, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 28.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189212003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212003?

Census tract 29189212003 in the North Pointe neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189212003?

Median gross rent is $837/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212003?

30.2% of residents in tract 29189212003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 84th, minority 96th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 29189212003 considered part of North Pointe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189212003 fall within North Pointe (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189212003 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189212003 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189212003 compare to Jennings overall?

Tract 29189212003 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Jennings at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jennings; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 29189212003 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jennings

Top eight tracts in Jennings ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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