Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218013 ·
St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,605 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Manchester is where census tract 29189218013 sits, home to 5,605 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #36,406 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,208 a month while the average household earns $106,231 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 20%Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,209
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$106,231
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Manchester
Moderate
Within county
38th percentile
#146 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Low
Within state
15th percentile
#1,412 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
14th percentile
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5748, -90.4783 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Manchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,208 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
4.2
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
14%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
195Total filings 2020-21
2.5Avg monthly (observed)
1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
6.4%Food insecurity
4.4%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
13.8%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.76x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218013
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218013?
Census tract 29189218013 in Manchester scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218013?
Median gross rent is $1,208/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218013?
9.2% of residents in tract 29189218013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,605.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218013?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 14th, minority 35th, housing 12th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218013 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218013 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218013 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 29189218013 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Manchester at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.