Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510101300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,542 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 29510101300 covers Holly Hills in St. Louis in Missouri. Home to 3,542 residents, it scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #60,217 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 14% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,023 a month against an average household income of $71,053 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share47.6%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$71,053
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5666, -90.2642 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Hills scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Holly Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 42%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 362Total filings over 13 yrs
- 4.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2012)
- 32Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 159Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holly Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Hills
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 362 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510101300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101300?
Census tract 29510101300 in the Holly Hills neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510101300?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101300?
9.9% of residents in tract 29510101300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,542.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 51th, minority 43th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 29510101300 considered part of Holly Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101300 fall within Holly Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 362 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510101300 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510101300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510101300 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510101300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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