Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Carondelet Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510101400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,803 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
29510101400 is a census tract in the Carondelet area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,803 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,159
Renter share42.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$54,480
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5622, -90.2535 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carondelet scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$999 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Carondelet compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 48%Grade B
- 51%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 517Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2007)
- 39Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 203Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.2%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 39.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carondelet
The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 517 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 13.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510101400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510101400?
Census tract 29510101400 in the Carondelet neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510101400?
Median gross rent is $999/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510101400?
20.8% of residents in tract 29510101400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,803.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510101400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 56th, minority 66th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 29510101400 considered part of Carondelet?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510101400 fall within Carondelet (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510101400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 517 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510101400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.99% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510101400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510101400 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510101400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510101400 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510101400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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