Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510105400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,498 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
29510105400 is a census tract in the West End area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units945
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$68,277
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6650, -90.2895 · click any tract to drill in
Why West End scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$920 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How West End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 97%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,012Total filings over 13 yrs
- 10.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.7%Peak (2006)
- 72Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 248Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.7%Housing insecurity
- 26.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.9%Food insecurity
- 35.6%SNAP enrollment
- 20.2%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West End
SNAP participation runs 35.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,012 filings here across 13 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 14.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510105400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510105400?
Census tract 29510105400 in the West End neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510105400?
Median gross rent is $920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510105400?
38.3% of residents in tract 29510105400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,498.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510105400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 7th, minority 92th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 29510105400 considered part of West End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510105400 fall within West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510105400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,012 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510105400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.94% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510105400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510105400 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510105400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510105400 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510105400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Penrose
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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