Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Baden Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510108300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,835 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 29510108300, home to 1,835 residents in the Baden neighborhood of St. Louis, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
20% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $919 a month against an average household income of $45,569 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units807
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate34.0%
Median income$45,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.7226, -90.2333 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baden scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
34.0% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$919 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Baden compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 90%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 768Total filings over 13 yrs
- 17.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.6%Peak (2015)
- 68Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 282Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Baden. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.6%Housing insecurity
- 29.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.0%Food insecurity
- 43.4%SNAP enrollment
- 22.7%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 48.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baden
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 35.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 29.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 768 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 17.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.6% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510108300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510108300?
Census tract 29510108300 in the Baden neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510108300?
Median gross rent is $919/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510108300?
34.0% of residents in tract 29510108300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,835.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510108300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 92th, minority 96th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 29510108300 considered part of Baden?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510108300 fall within Baden (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510108300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 768 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510108300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.34% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510108300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510108300 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510108300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510108300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510108300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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