Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
College Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510109700 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,738 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 29510109700 sits in the College Hill area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units769
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$44,414
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6754, -90.2022 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Hill scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$978 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How College Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 629Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2004)
- 25Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 155Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within College Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.1%Housing insecurity
- 24.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 33.5%SNAP enrollment
- 18.5%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 44.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Hill
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 33.5% against 15.2% nationally. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.3/10.
Housing insecurity runs 30.1% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 629 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510109700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510109700?
Census tract 29510109700 in the College Hill neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510109700?
Median gross rent is $978/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510109700?
21.4% of residents in tract 29510109700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,738.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510109700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 38th, minority 94th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 29510109700 considered part of College Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510109700 fall within College Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510109700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 629 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510109700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.58% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510109700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510109700 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510109700 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510109700 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510109700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Penrose
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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