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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kingsway East Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510111200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 909 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 29510111200 sits in the Kingsway East area of St. Louis, MO, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 909. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 31% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units369
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate46.3%
Median income$40,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Kingsway East
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 104 tracts In St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 104 tracts In St. Louis city
Elevated
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6634, -90.2506 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kingsway East scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
46.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$788 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0

How Kingsway East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kingsway East risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 1112004.2St. Louisparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 392Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 10.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2008)
  • 21Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29510111200
Filings dropped 49% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 91Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.64×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kingsway East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kingsway East

The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 28.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 31.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10.

34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the St. Louis City average of 41.6%. At $788 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of St. Louis commands. It sits 1.0 points above the St. Louis City average of 4.4.

The filing record is not thin: 392 evictions over 13 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2008, when 12.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510111200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510111200?

Census tract 29510111200 in the Kingsway East neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29510111200?

Median gross rent is $788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510111200?

46.3% of residents in tract 29510111200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 909.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510111200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 10th, minority 89th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 29510111200 considered part of Kingsway East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510111200 fall within Kingsway East (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510111200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 392 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510111200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.98% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 29510111200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.64× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 29510111200 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 29510111200 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510111200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 29510111200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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