Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Tower Grove East Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510116500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,724 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 29510116500 covers part of the Tower Grove East area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,724. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,700
Renter share48.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$81,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6012, -90.2373 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tower Grove East scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,056 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Tower Grove East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 96%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,077Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2007)
- 55Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 243Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tower Grove East
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 41.6% across St. Louis City. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the St. Louis City average of 4.4. 15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Court records carry 1,077 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 13.4% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116500?
Census tract 29510116500 in the Tower Grove East neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116500?
Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116500?
4.6% of residents in tract 29510116500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,724.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 41th, minority 59th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116500 considered part of Tower Grove East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116500 fall within Tower Grove East (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,077 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.50% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116500 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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