Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Marine Villa Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510124600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,720 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
How risky is the Marine Villa area of St. Louis for landlords? Census tract 29510124600 scores 6.5/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $859 a month against an average household income of $47,852 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units733
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$47,852
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5890, -90.2141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marine Villa scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$859 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Marine Villa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 33%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 824Total filings over 13 yrs
- 12.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2017)
- 90Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 96% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 240Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.6%Housing insecurity
- 27.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.8%Food insecurity
- 39.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.9%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 23.4%Frequent mental distress
- 45.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marine Villa
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 32.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 27.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 824 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 12.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.7% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510124600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510124600?
Census tract 29510124600 in the Marine Villa neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510124600?
Median gross rent is $859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510124600?
38.0% of residents in tract 29510124600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,720.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510124600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 92th, minority 83th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 29510124600 considered part of Marine Villa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510124600 fall within Marine Villa (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510124600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 824 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510124600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.02% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510124600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510124600 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510124600 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510124600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510124600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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