Eviction Risk in Kosciusko , St. Louis
Tract 29510127600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,545 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 29510127600 sits in the Kosciusko neighborhood of St. Louis, Missouri. It has a population of 2,545 and an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). 28% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 15% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,127/month against a median household income of $81,277 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,655 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 4.5%
- White (non-Hispanic) 73.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 7.9%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 4.6%
- Other / Multiracial 9.6%
How the 5.4/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.1 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.1 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 2.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.5 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 4.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 532Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2004)
- 38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 344Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 65% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 0.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 64.6%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 29510127600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127600?
Census tract 29510127600 in the Kosciusko neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 29510127600?
Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127600?
16.8% of residents in tract 29510127600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,545.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 2th, minority 38th, housing 67th.
Is tract 29510127600 considered part of Kosciusko?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127600 fall within Kosciusko (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510127600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510127600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 29510127600 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 29510127600 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 65% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.