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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Demarest Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34003009100 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 4,930

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 34003009100 in Demarest, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,930 residents. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 2% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,695
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$175,078

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Demarest
Moderate
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Low
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,234 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Demarest and the region

Centroid at 40.9541, -73.9549 · click any tract to drill in

Why Demarest scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Demarest
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Demarest
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Demarest
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Demarest
5.7

How Demarest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Demarest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0091006.2Demarestparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2013)
  • 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34003009100
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Demarest

roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Bergen County average of 46.6%. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

The voucher gap is 69.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Bergen County average of 6.3.

Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003009100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003009100?

Census tract 34003009100 in Demarest scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003009100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003009100?

0.8% of residents in tract 34003009100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,930.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003009100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 36th, minority 50th, housing 4th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003009100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34003009100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.50% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34003009100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34003009100 compare to Demarest overall?

Tract 34003009100 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Demarest at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Demarest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34003009100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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