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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Bear's Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , Ramsey

Tract 34003044201 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 3,691 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 34003044201, home to 3,691 residents in the Bear's Cove area of Ramsey, scores 6.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $194,250 a year. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 3% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$194,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Bear's Cove
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ramsey
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#1,898 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ramsey and the region

Centroid at 41.0513, -74.1342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bear's Cove scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ramsey
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ramsey
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ramsey
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ramsey
4.7

How Bear's Cove compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bear's Cove risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 044201Ramsey: 7.47.4Ramseyparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.2%Peak (2013)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340030442012013: 6 filings (18.18/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)2015: 2 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2017: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bear's Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bear's Cove

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ramsey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bergen County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 10 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 7.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.2% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003044201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003044201?

Census tract 34003044201 in the Bear's Cove neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003044201?

0.3% of residents in tract 34003044201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,691.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003044201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 12th, minority 42th, housing 10th.
Q4

Is tract 34003044201 considered part of Bear's Cove?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003044201 fall within Bear's Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003044201?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34003044201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.03% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34003044201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34003044201 compare to Ramsey overall?

Tract 34003044201 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Ramsey at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ramsey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ramsey

Top eight tracts in Ramsey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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