McGinley Square Eviction Risk: High , Jersey City

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

At $1,588 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Jersey City commands. Against the Hudson County average of 7.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $68,517.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.