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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,892 of 84,120 nationally

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Jersey City

Tract 34017002800 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 6,230 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the McGinley Square neighborhood of Jersey City, census tract 34017002800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,286 monthly, set against $75,100 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 46% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,403
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$75,100

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 22 tracts In McGinley Square
Elevated
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 77 tracts In Jersey City
High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#272 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jersey City and the region

Centroid at 40.7266, -74.0732 · click any tract to drill in

Why McGinley Square scores 7.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jersey City
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jersey City
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jersey City
8.0

How McGinley Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McGinley Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.67.6This tracttract 002800Jersey City: 8.38.3Jersey Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 657Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 9.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2014)
  • 120Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170028002014: 233 filings (12.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 175 filings (9.89/100 renter HHs)2017: 129 filings (7.29/100 renter HHs)2018: 120 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McGinley Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McGinley Square

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 657 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.9% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017002800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017002800?

Census tract 34017002800 in the McGinley Square neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017002800?

Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017002800?

20.3% of residents in tract 34017002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,230.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017002800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 27th, minority 77th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 34017002800 considered part of McGinley Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017002800 fall within McGinley Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017002800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 657 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.22% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017002800 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017002800 compare to Jersey City overall?

Tract 34017002800 scores 7.6/10, lower than the parent city of Jersey City at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jersey City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017002800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jersey City

Top eight tracts in Jersey City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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