Neighborhood · Jersey City, NJ

McGinley Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

22 census tracts · pop 89,090 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.3–9.1

McGinley Square is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Jersey City with 22 census tracts and a population of 89,090 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,550/month sits 23% lower than the Jersey City citywide average ($2,007).

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

22 tracts · population-weighted

McGinley Square vs Jersey City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.7% +84%

Jersey City: 27.5%

Average gross rent

$1,550 -23%

Jersey City: $2,007

Average HH income

$65,095 -36%

Jersey City: $101,597

Poverty rate

20.9% +34%

Jersey City: 15.6%

Renter share

71.1% -1%

Jersey City: 72.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McGinley Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 22 tracts span score 6.3–9.1

Why McGinley Square scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

71% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Economic stress

20.9% below poverty line · Range 2.4–9.5 across tracts

5.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–6.1 across tracts

2.0

Risk score comparison

McGinley Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in McGinley Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.8 points from 6.3 to 9.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

9.1 9.0 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.5 8.3 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.5 6.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

22 tracts in McGinley Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
34017006700	9.1	3,481	46%	$671
34017004200	9	5,459	56%	$1,319
34017002700	8.8	5,879	51%	$1,551
34017005200	8.7	4,472	54%	$1,161
34017004900	8.5	5,091	63%	$2,069
34017004300	8.5	2,884	76%	$1,482
34017003000	8.3	2,802	46%	$1,201
34017004400	8.2	2,644	70%	$1,091
34017004102	7.9	4,476	50%	$1,532
34017002800	7.6	6,230	36%	$1,286
34017004104	7.6	3,478	48%	$1,588
34017004000	7.4	5,994	35%	$1,394
34017004500	7.4	5,761	59%	$1,756
34017005300	7.2	4,102	59%	$1,572
34017003102	7.2	3,553	36%	$1,414
34017006800	7.1	3,856	57%	$1,663
34017004600	7.1	2,919	49%	$1,472
34017002900	6.9	3,682	40%	$1,666
34017004700	6.9	3,077	55%	$2,561
34017004800	6.6	4,763	45%	$2,067
34017003101	6.5	2,462	51%	$2,248
34017004103	6.3	2,025	51%	$1,355

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 22 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 62%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 80%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McGinley Square

Aggregated across 18 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

12,350Total filings (sum)
17.15%Avg annual filing rate
40.9%Peak year (2018)
14.96%Latest filed (2018)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McGinley Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

20.2%Housing insecurity
12.7%Utility shutoff threat
25.9%Food insecurity
17.9%SNAP enrollment
15.2%No health insurance
28.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About McGinley Square

What is the eviction-risk score for McGinley Square?

McGinley Square scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 22 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does McGinley Square compare to Jersey City overall?

McGinley Square scores 0.6 points lower than Jersey City overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,550 vs $2,007.

What is the average rent in McGinley Square?

Average gross rent in McGinley Square is $1,550/month (pop-weighted across 22 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of McGinley Square residents are renters?

71% of McGinley Square households are renter-occupied (vs 72% in Jersey City). The neighborhood has 89,090 residents.

Is McGinley Square a high social-vulnerability area?

McGinley Square sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in McGinley Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in McGinley Square is census tract 34017006700 (score 9.1/10). Across the 22 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 9.1, a spread of 2.8 points.

How safe is McGinley Square for landlords?

McGinley Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 22 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Jersey City as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of McGinley Square?

McGinley Square has 88,605 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (33.7%), Hispanic / Latino (27.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McGinley Square

7.3 Hilltop 5 tracts · pop 12,941 7.1 Indian Square 6 tracts · pop 21,429 6 Hamilton Park 9 tracts · pop 23,835 5.3 Downtown Jersey City 4 tracts · pop 19,110 6.8 The Heights 13 tracts · pop 45,141 5.6 Newport 3 tracts · pop 14,077

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Jersey City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McGinley Square.

7.3 Hilltop 5 tracts · pop 12,941 7.1 Indian Square 6 tracts · pop 21,429 6.9 The Heights 13 tracts · pop 45,141 6 Hamilton Park 9 tracts · pop 23,835 5.3 Newport 3 tracts · pop 14,077 5.3 Downtown Jersey City 4 tracts · pop 19,110

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