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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 34017014801 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 4,755 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.8/10, tract 34017014801 in the The Shades neighborhood of Union City ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,755 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,193 a month while the average household earns $48,242 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 35% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$48,242

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 16 tracts In The Shades
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#35 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,438 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7684, -74.0433 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.0

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Shades risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 014801Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hudson County average of 7.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017014801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017014801?

Census tract 34017014801 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017014801?

Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017014801?

22.8% of residents in tract 34017014801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,755.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017014801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 73th, minority 86th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 34017014801 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017014801 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 34017014801 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34017014801 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017014801 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34017014801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 59% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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