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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: High , Union City

Tract 34017016900 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,160 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 34017016900 sits in the The Shades area of Union City eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.2/10. It is home to 3,160 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 49% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units1,215
Renter share87.3%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$39,735

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 16 tracts In The Shades
Elevated
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 18 tracts In Union City
High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#357 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7670, -74.0320 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,341 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Shades risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0169006.8Union Cityparent city7.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 223Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak (2014)
  • 41Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34017016900
Filings dropped 55% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

Adults with no health insurance runs 34.2% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $39,735 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.8/10. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 223 evictions over 4 years of observation. At $1,341 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Union City commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when 8.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Hudson Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017016900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016900?

Census tract 34017016900 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017016900?

Median gross rent is $1,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016900?

31.2% of residents in tract 34017016900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 100th, minority 94th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 34017016900 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016900 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016900?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 223 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.76% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017016900 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017016900 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017016900 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017016900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 50% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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