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Neighborhood · Ranked #798 of 84,120 nationally

The Shades Eviction Risk: High , Union City

Tract 34017016800 · Hudson County, NJ · pop 3,671 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 34017016800 runs through the The Shades neighborhood of Union City. With 3,671 residents, it scores 7.5/10 for landlords. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,547 a month while the average household earns $65,192 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 88% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 44% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,232
Renter share88.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate43.9%
Median income$65,192

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In The Shades
High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 18 tracts In Union City
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 183 tracts In Hudson County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 40.7704, -74.0304 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Shades scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
43.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,547 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.1

How The Shades compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Shades risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.78.7This tracttract 016800Union City: 7.67.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 319Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2014)
  • 78Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2014 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340170168002014: 116 filings (11.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 61 filings (5.78/100 renter HHs)2017: 64 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2018: 78 filings (7.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Shades. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Shades

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Union City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hudson County average of 7.0 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34017016800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34017016800?

Census tract 34017016800 in the The Shades neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34017016800?

Median gross rent is $1,547/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34017016800?

43.9% of residents in tract 34017016800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,671.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34017016800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 89th, minority 92th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 34017016800 considered part of The Shades?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34017016800 fall within The Shades (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34017016800?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 319 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34017016800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.66% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34017016800 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34017016800 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 34017016800 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34017016800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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