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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

East Trenton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34021002200 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 5,426 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in the East Trenton area of Trenton centers on tract 34021002200, which scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,426 residents. It lands near the 96th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,375 a month while the average household earns $81,773 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 32% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share54.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$81,773

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In East Trenton
Moderate
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 25 tracts In Trenton
Very Low
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#323 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Trenton and the region

Centroid at 40.2246, -74.7387 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Trenton scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,375 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
7.0

How East Trenton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Trenton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 002200Trenton: 8.28.2Trentonparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,405Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 27.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.2%Peak (2013)
  • 214Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340210022002013: 242 filings (27.16/100 renter HHs)2014: 241 filings (27.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 236 filings (26.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 239 filings (28.42/100 renter HHs)2017: 233 filings (27.71/100 renter HHs)2018: 214 filings (25.45/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Trenton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Trenton

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Trenton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mercer County average of 6.7 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021002200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021002200?

Census tract 34021002200 in the East Trenton neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021002200?

Median gross rent is $1,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021002200?

17.2% of residents in tract 34021002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 79th, minority 94th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 34021002200 considered part of East Trenton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021002200 fall within East Trenton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021002200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,405 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021002200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.05% of renter households, peaking at 27.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021002200 compare to Trenton overall?

Tract 34021002200 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Trenton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Trenton

Top eight tracts in Trenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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