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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Braeburn Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , The College of New Jersey

Tract 34021003500 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 6,332 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood of The College of New Jersey centers on tract 34021003500, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 6,332 residents. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,460 a month while the average household earns $67,464 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 16% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$67,464

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Braeburn Heights
Very Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
Elevated
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#990 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across The College of New Jersey and the region

Centroid at 40.2581, -74.7639 · click any tract to drill in

Why Braeburn Heights scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,460 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
5.0

How Braeburn Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Braeburn Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 003500The College of New: 8.08.0The College of Newparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 735Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 14.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.4%Peak (2013)
  • 96Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340210035002013: 171 filings (21.35/100 renter HHs)2014: 101 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 143 filings (17.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 121 filings (12.54/100 renter HHs)2017: 103 filings (10.67/100 renter HHs)2018: 96 filings (9.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Braeburn Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Braeburn Heights

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mercer County average of 6.7 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021003500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003500?

Census tract 34021003500 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021003500?

Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003500?

9.0% of residents in tract 34021003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,332.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 54th, minority 76th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 34021003500 considered part of Braeburn Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003500 fall within Braeburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 735 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.16% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021003500 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021003500 compare to The College of New Jersey overall?

Tract 34021003500 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of The College of New Jersey at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021003500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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