Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Braeburn Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , The College of New Jersey
Tract 34021003500 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 6,332 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
34021003500 is a census tract in the Braeburn Heights area of Mercer County, NJ. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,332. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.3/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$67,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across The College of New Jersey and the region
Centroid at 40.2581, -74.7639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braeburn Heights scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,460 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
5.0
How Braeburn Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 735Total filings over 6 yrs
- 14.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.4%Peak (2013)
- 96Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Braeburn Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.5%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braeburn Heights
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
Court records carry 735 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 21.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Trenton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Mercer County average of 5.7 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,460 a month.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $67,464.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34021003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003500?
Census tract 34021003500 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34021003500?
Median gross rent is $1,460/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003500?
9.0% of residents in tract 34021003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,332.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 54th, minority 76th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 34021003500 considered part of Braeburn Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003500 fall within Braeburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003500?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 735 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.16% of renter households, peaking at 21.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34021003500 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34021003500 compare to The College of New Jersey overall?
Tract 34021003500 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of The College of New Jersey at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34021003500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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