Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Braeburn Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , The College of New Jersey
Tract 34021003602 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 2,928 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 34021003602 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood of The College of New Jersey ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,928 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,270 a month while the average household earns $71,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$71,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across The College of New Jersey and the region
Centroid at 40.2575, -74.7861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braeburn Heights scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
5.0
How Braeburn Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 18%Grade B
- 23%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 399Total filings over 6 yrs
- 16.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.2%Peak (2013)
- 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Braeburn Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braeburn Heights
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mercer County average of 6.7 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34021003602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003602?
Census tract 34021003602 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34021003602?
Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003602?
15.1% of residents in tract 34021003602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,928.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 41th, minority 75th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 34021003602 considered part of Braeburn Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003602 fall within Braeburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003602?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 399 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.11% of renter households, peaking at 24.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34021003602 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34021003602 compare to The College of New Jersey overall?
Tract 34021003602 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of The College of New Jersey at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34021003602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related