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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Braeburn Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , The College of New Jersey

Tract 34021003602 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 2,928 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 34021003602 covers part of the Braeburn Heights area of Mercer County, NJ, and scores 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,928. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.3/10.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,168
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate15.1%
Median income$71,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Braeburn Heights
Moderate
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 84 tracts In Mercer County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#874 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,571 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across The College of New Jersey and the region

Centroid at 40.2575, -74.7861 · click any tract to drill in

Why Braeburn Heights scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.1% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,270 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
5.0

How Braeburn Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Braeburn Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.3This tracttract 0036026.1The College of Newparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 399Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 16.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.2%Peak (2013)
  • 51Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34021003602
Filings dropped 44% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Braeburn Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Braeburn Heights

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 399 evictions over 6 years of observation. Cost burden runs 51% here against 46.5% across Mercer County. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7/10.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 24.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Trenton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Mercer County average of 5.7 closely.

Average gross rent runs $1,270 a month. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $71,250.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34021003602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003602?

Census tract 34021003602 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34021003602?

Median gross rent is $1,270/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003602?

15.1% of residents in tract 34021003602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 41th, minority 75th, housing 50th.
Q5

Is tract 34021003602 considered part of Braeburn Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003602 fall within Braeburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003602?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 399 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.11% of renter households, peaking at 24.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34021003602 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34021003602 compare to The College of New Jersey overall?

Tract 34021003602 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of The College of New Jersey at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34021003602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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