Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Braeburn Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , The College of New Jersey
Tract 34021003703 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 7,712 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 34021003703 covers Braeburn Heights in The College of New Jersey in New Jersey. Home to 7,712 residents, it scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
About 67% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 56% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,793 monthly, set against $92,481 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,685
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$92,481
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across The College of New Jersey and the region
Centroid at 40.2684, -74.7779 · click any tract to drill in
Why Braeburn Heights scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,793 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from The College of New Jersey
9.8
How Braeburn Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 11%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2013)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Braeburn Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Braeburn Heights
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mercer County average of 6.7 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: The College of New Jersey eviction laws sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.
Frequently asked
About tract 34021003703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021003703?
Census tract 34021003703 in the Braeburn Heights neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34021003703?
Median gross rent is $1,793/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34021003703?
22.9% of residents in tract 34021003703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,712.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34021003703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 2th, minority 55th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 34021003703 considered part of Braeburn Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021003703 fall within Braeburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021003703?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021003703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.41% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34021003703 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34021003703 compare to The College of New Jersey overall?
Tract 34021003703 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of The College of New Jersey at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The College of New Jersey eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34021003703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Related