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Census Tract · Ranked #2,339 of 84,120 nationally

New Brunswick Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34023005100 · Middlesex County, NJ · pop 6,657

Tract 34023005100 sits in New Brunswick eviction risk, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.7/10. Population here is 6,657. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 34% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share84.9%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$78,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In New Brunswick
Elevated
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 192 tracts In Middlesex County
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2,339 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Brunswick and the region

Centroid at 40.5028, -74.4554 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Brunswick scores 9.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brunswick
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,790 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brunswick
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brunswick
8.7

How New Brunswick compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Brunswick risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.7This tracttract 0051008.3New Brunswickparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2015)
  • 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Brunswick

Against the Middlesex County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 4.0 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Middlesex County average of 44.9%.

85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, economic stress reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9/10. Court records carry 54 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34023005100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34023005100?

Census tract 34023005100 in New Brunswick scores 9.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34023005100?

Median gross rent is $1,790/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34023005100?

36.5% of residents in tract 34023005100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,657.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34023005100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 1th, minority 53th, housing 95th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34023005100?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 34023005100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34023005100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34023005100 compare to New Brunswick overall?

Tract 34023005100 scores 9.7/10, higher than the parent city of New Brunswick at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brunswick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Brunswick

Top eight tracts in New Brunswick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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