Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
The Village at Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Fairview
Tract 34025801000 ·
Monmouth County, NJ · pop 4,386 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 34025801000, home to 4,386 residents in the The Village at Chapel Hill area of Fairview, scores 6.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,776 a month against an average household income of $138,173 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 13%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,747
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$138,173
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In The Village at Chapel Hill
Very Low
Within county
33th percentile
#103 of 154 tracts In Monmouth County
Low
Within state
17th percentile
#1,797 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
14th percentile
#72,539 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairview and the region
Centroid at 40.3854, -74.0899 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Village at Chapel Hill scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fairview
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,776 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairview
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairview
5.0
How The Village at Chapel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
149Total filings over 2 yrs
17.37%Avg annual filing rate
26.0%Peak (2013)
45Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Village at Chapel Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.3%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Village at Chapel Hill
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairview, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monmouth County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34025801000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025801000?
Census tract 34025801000 in the The Village at Chapel Hill neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34025801000?
Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025801000?
2.1% of residents in tract 34025801000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025801000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 26th, minority 23th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 34025801000 considered part of The Village at Chapel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025801000 fall within The Village at Chapel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34025801000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34025801000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.37% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34025801000 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34025801000 compare to Fairview overall?
Tract 34025801000 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Fairview at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairview; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.