Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
The Village at Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fairview
Tract 34025801000 ·
Monmouth County, NJ · pop 4,386 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
34025801000 is a census tract in the The Village at Chapel Hill area of Monmouth County, NJ. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,386 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%Stable renters 13%Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,747
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$138,173
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In The Village at Chapel Hill
Very Low
Within county
28th percentile
#112 of 154 tracts In Monmouth County
Low
Within state
24th percentile
#1,645 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
51th percentile
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairview and the region
Centroid at 40.3854, -74.0899 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Village at Chapel Hill scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fairview
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,776 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairview
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairview
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairview
5.0
How The Village at Chapel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
149Total filings over 2 yrs
17.37%Avg annual filing rate
26.0%Peak (2013)
45Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Village at Chapel Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.3%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
3.4%SNAP enrollment
4.1%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Village at Chapel Hill
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Monmouth County at 47.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Monmouth County average of 5.7.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 149 filings here across 2 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2013, when 26.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 17.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $138,173, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34025801000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025801000?
Census tract 34025801000 in the The Village at Chapel Hill neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34025801000?
Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025801000?
2.1% of residents in tract 34025801000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025801000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 26th, minority 23th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 34025801000 considered part of The Village at Chapel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025801000 fall within The Village at Chapel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34025801000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34025801000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.37% of renter households, peaking at 26.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34025801000 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34025801000 compare to Fairview overall?
Tract 34025801000 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Fairview at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairview; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.