Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
The Village at Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fairview
Tract 34025801400 · Monmouth County, NJ · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
In The Village at Chapel Hill in Fairview, census tract 34025801400 scores 6.7/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,046 a month against an average household income of $153,125 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,486
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$153,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairview and the region
Centroid at 40.3647, -74.0782 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Village at Chapel Hill scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fairview
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,046 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairview
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairview
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairview
7.5
How The Village at Chapel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2018)
- 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Village at Chapel Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.3%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Village at Chapel Hill
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairview, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Monmouth County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 7 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2018.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34025801400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34025801400?
Census tract 34025801400 in the The Village at Chapel Hill neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34025801400?
Median gross rent is $3,046/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34025801400?
0.8% of residents in tract 34025801400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34025801400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 5th, minority 9th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 34025801400 considered part of The Village at Chapel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34025801400 fall within The Village at Chapel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34025801400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 34025801400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.97% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34025801400 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34025801400 compare to Fairview overall?
Tract 34025801400 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Fairview at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairview; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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