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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Atlantis Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mystic Island

Tract 34029736106 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 2,876 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 34029736106 sits in the Atlantis area of Mystic Island, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Ocean County average of 50.5%.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,195
Renter share3.3%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$108,509

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Atlantis
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Mystic Island
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Elevated
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,435 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mystic Island and the region

Centroid at 39.5744, -74.3480 · click any tract to drill in

Why Atlantis scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mystic Island
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mystic Island
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mystic Island
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mystic Island
8.4

How Atlantis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Atlantis risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 736106Mystic Island: 5.95.9Mystic Islandparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Atlantis

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Ocean County average of 5.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029736106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029736106?

Census tract 34029736106 in the Atlantis neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029736106?

4.0% of residents in tract 34029736106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,876.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029736106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 52th, minority 15th, housing 1th.
Q4

Is tract 34029736106 considered part of Atlantis?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029736106 fall within Atlantis (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 34029736106 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34029736106 compare to Mystic Island overall?

Tract 34029736106 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Mystic Island at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mystic Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mystic Island

Top eight tracts in Mystic Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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