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Census Tract · Ranked #237 of 84,120 nationally

Paterson Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34031264200 · Passaic County, NJ · pop 4,928

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 34031264200 (Paterson in Passaic County, New Jersey) comes in at 7.9/10, the Elevated tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,324 a month against an average household income of $35,600 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. About 92% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 34% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,764
Renter share92.1%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$35,600

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 40 tracts In Paterson
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 120 tracts In Passaic County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#237 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Paterson and the region

Centroid at 40.9225, -74.1756 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paterson scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Paterson
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,324 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paterson
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paterson
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paterson
7.5

How Paterson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paterson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.29.2This tracttract 264200Paterson: 8.98.9Patersonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,987Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 47.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 51.7%Peak (2018)
  • 680Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340312642002013: 550 filings (44.35/100 renter HHs)2014: 678 filings (54.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 546 filings (44.03/100 renter HHs)2016: 533 filings (40.50/100 renter HHs)2018: 680 filings (51.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paterson

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Paterson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Passaic County average of 6.9 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 2,987 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 47.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 51.7% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34031264200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34031264200?

Census tract 34031264200 in Paterson scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34031264200?

Median gross rent is $1,324/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34031264200?

33.4% of residents in tract 34031264200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,928.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34031264200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 93th, minority 95th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34031264200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 2,987 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34031264200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.05% of renter households, peaking at 51.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34031264200 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34031264200 compare to Paterson overall?

Tract 34031264200 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Paterson at 8.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paterson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Paterson

Top eight tracts in Paterson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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