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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Park Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roselle

Tract 34039037400 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,593 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 34039037400 in the Park Village area of Union County, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,593. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,675
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$149,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Park Village
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#94 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,472 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roselle and the region

Centroid at 40.6445, -74.3109 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Village scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roselle
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,358 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
5.0

How Park Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0374006.6Roselleparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 16Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak (2016)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34039037400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Village

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. It sits 1.8 points below the Union County average of 6.6.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 3 observed years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037400?

Census tract 34039037400 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037400?

Median gross rent is $2,358/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037400?

2.3% of residents in tract 34039037400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,593.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 32th, minority 20th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 34039037400 considered part of Park Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039037400 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039037400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34039037400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039037400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039037400 compare to Roselle overall?

Tract 34039037400 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Roselle at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039037400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 14% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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