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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Murray Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , New Providence

Tract 34039038101 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,634 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

In the Murray Hill area of New Providence, census tract 34039038101 scores 6.1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,042 monthly, set against $163,160 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 13% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,817
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$163,160

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Murray Hill
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In New Providence
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very Low
Within state
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#2,066 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Providence and the region

Centroid at 40.6941, -74.3995 · click any tract to drill in

Why Murray Hill scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Providence
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,042 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Providence
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Providence
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Providence
2.6

How Murray Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Murray Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 038101New Providence: 7.07.0New Providenceparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390381012013: 3 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (1.23/100 renter HHs)2018: 2 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Murray Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Murray Hill

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Providence, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039038101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039038101?

Census tract 34039038101 in the Murray Hill neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039038101?

Median gross rent is $2,042/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039038101?

1.4% of residents in tract 34039038101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,634.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039038101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 40th, minority 36th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 34039038101 considered part of Murray Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039038101 fall within Murray Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039038101?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 34039038101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.14% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039038101 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039038101 compare to New Providence overall?

Tract 34039038101 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of New Providence at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Providence; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039038101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Providence

Top eight tracts in New Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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