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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Murray Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , New Providence

Tract 34039038103 · Union County, NJ · pop 3,587 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 34039038103 in the Murray Hill area of New Providence, NJ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,587 residents. It sits 3.5 points below the Union County average of 6.6.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share2.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$148,947

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Murray Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In New Providence
Moderate
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#118 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,096 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Providence and the region

Centroid at 40.6987, -74.4148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Murray Hill scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Providence
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Providence
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Providence
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Providence
2.6

How Murray Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Murray Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 0381034.5New Providenceparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Murray Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Murray Hill

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Disability prevalence runs 18.7% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.6/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039038103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039038103?

Census tract 34039038103 in the Murray Hill neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039038103?

1.7% of residents in tract 34039038103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,587.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039038103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 50th, minority 44th, housing 13th.
Q4

Is tract 34039038103 considered part of Murray Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039038103 fall within Murray Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 34039038103 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34039038103 compare to New Providence overall?

Tract 34039038103 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of New Providence at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Providence; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 34039038103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Providence

Top eight tracts in New Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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