Tremont Eviction Risk: High , New York

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. SNAP participation runs 38.3% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $53,191 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 47% here against 56.0% across Bronx County. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 5,439 evictions over 8 years of observation. At $1,611 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of New York commands.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 44.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 35.5% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.