Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

First Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Binghamton

Tract 36007014000 · Broome County, NY · pop 3,016 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

36007014000 is a census tract in the First Ward area of Johnson City, NY. It scores 7.8/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.8

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 22% Owners 28%

Tract context

Occupied units1,267

Renter share72.8%

SVI overall0.84

Poverty rate31.5%

Median income$39,865

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Binghamton and the region

Centroid at 42.1098, -75.9576 · click any tract to drill in

Why First Ward scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Binghamton

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

31.5% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$796 rent vs county FMR

1.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Binghamton

6.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Binghamton

3.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Binghamton

5.6

How First Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
21%Grade B
38%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within First Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.0%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
32.2%Food insecurity
35.1%SNAP enrollment
16.8%Transit barriers
11.4%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
37.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in First Ward

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Broome County average of 45.5%. SNAP participation runs 35.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.7/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.9/10.

At $796 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Johnson City commands. It sits 1.1 points above the Broome County average of 6.7.

Housing insecurity runs 24.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Binghamton-Johnson City. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36007014000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36007014000?

Census tract 36007014000 in the First Ward neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36007014000?

Median gross rent is $796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36007014000?

31.5% of residents in tract 36007014000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,016.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36007014000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 86th, minority 55th, housing 60th.

Is tract 36007014000 considered part of First Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36007014000 fall within First Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36007014000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36007014000 compare to Binghamton overall?

Tract 36007014000 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Binghamton at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Binghamton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36007014000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Binghamton

Top eight tracts in Binghamton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.