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Census Tract · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029007800 · Erie County, NY · pop 5,387

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 36029007800 in Tonawanda, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,324
Renter share25.2%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$60,362

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Tonawanda
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#3,504 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#14,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda and the region

Centroid at 43.0076, -78.8962 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tonawanda
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tonawanda
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tonawanda
6.7

How Tonawanda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tonawanda risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0078006.5Tonawandaparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Against Erie County at 44.6%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10. At $912 a month, rents run 9% over what the rest of Tonawanda commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $60,362. 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029007800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007800?

Census tract 36029007800 in Tonawanda scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029007800?

Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007800?

10.8% of residents in tract 36029007800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,387.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 65th, minority 11th, housing 65th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029007800 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029007800 compare to Tonawanda overall?

Tract 36029007800 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Tonawanda at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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